Saturday 22 June 2013

So You Think You're a Financial Genius?


There is a widening gap between what we think we know about investing and what we actually know.
That's one of the take-aways from the latest National Financial Capability Study—in which people were asked to rate their financial knowledge. Nearly three quarters of the 25,000 American adults surveyed awarded themselves above-average marks.
But here's the kicker: When given a simple five-question quiz designed to test their knowledge of basic financial concepts encountered in everyday life, only 39% of respondents were able to correctly answer at least four questions.
In short, we don't even know what we don't know—and the problem is getting worse. This is worrisome because, in order to make sound investment decisions, we need at least a basic understanding of some key financial concepts.
Take compounding—the process of earning money not only on your original investment but also on your accumulated earnings.
Fully one quarter of those surveyed for the Finra Investor Education Foundation—an offshoot of the regulator of securities firms, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority—couldn't say whether $100 deposited in a savings account earning 2% interest per year would grow to more than $102, less than $102 or exactly $102 after five years.
(Answer: $110.41—$100 grows to $102 the first year, $102 grows to $104.04 the second year, and so on.)
Compounding can be your strongest ally when building a nest egg, but it also can work against you—so you need to have a handle on it. Here are three ways it can make or break your portfolio:

imageTraci Deberko
Time
You invest $200 a month for 40 years, and your neighbor invests $400 a month for 20 years. You both invest the same $96,000 overall. But your investment grows to $500,000, assuming a 7% average annual rate of return, compounded yearly, while your neighbor's grows to just $200,000.
"That is the magic of compounding and why it really pays to get started saving early," says Suzanna de Baca, vice president of wealth strategies at Ameriprise Financial.
Getting a head start on your retirement savings means you can put away less money per year than if you'd started later, says Ms. de Baca.
Costs
One thing that can "overwhelm" the magic of compounding is the "tyranny" of costs, as John Bogle, founder of Vanguard Group, likes to put it.
Investors end up paying all manner of fees for the privilege of letting Wall Street invest their money. The longer the investment period, the bigger Wall Street's take.
Say your portfolio earns an average annual return of 7% before fees and 5% after fees. After 10 years, $10,000 would grow to $20,000, but you'd net closer to $16,000, with the balance going to fees. That's 80% of the pot for you, 20% for Wall Street. After 40 years, Wall Street has pulled ahead, keeping $80,000 for itself and leaving you with just $70,000.
So keep costs in check. An easy way is to buy and hold a basket of low-expense, market-tracking index funds.
Returns
As anyone who retired at the start of the last bear market can attest, negative returns early in retirement can drastically shorten a portfolio's longevity. Two investors each retire with a $500,000 nest egg that earns an average annualized return of 6% over 10 years. One retires into a bull market, with positive returns in the early years and then losses. The other retires into a bear market and sees gains in later years.
Assuming both withdraw 7% a year, adjusted for inflation, the bull-market retiree would have more than $450,000 at the end of 10 years and the bear-market retiree less than $200,000.
For this reason, Jimmy Lee, managing partner at Strategic Wealth Associates, recommends new retirees set aside one or two years of living expenses in money-market funds, short-duration bond funds or even whole-life insurance that could be tapped for income during a market swoon
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